21

The Elephant in the Room Is Spain, Not Italy

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The decision for Europe’s bosses is this: they must ultimately confront the consequences of their policy choices. They can destroy the eurozone by continuing with the same failed mix of policies or by salvaging it by adding what has been missing from the outset: a mechanism for shifting surpluses to the deficit regions in the form of productive investments (as opposed to handouts or loans)

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20

[Premium] Dow Transports lagging is a warning sign

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There are still a lot of Dow Theory followers out there even after over 100 years. And the divergence between a bullish DJIA headline number and the lagging Dow Transports is bearish from a technical perspective

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19

Greece and the Troika’s Treachery

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Marshall Auerback suggests the Troika's goal in the Greek deal is to make the deal so miserable for the Greek people that the Spanish, Portuguese, Irish and Italians don't even begin to think of trying to get a similar haircut on their debt

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19

Bernanke ‘Irresponsible’ to Compare US to Greece

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That's the headline from my latest talk on RT's Alyona Show. Before I send you to the clip, let me explain my thinking because I don't think I was really clear in the video

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19

Banks Paying Cash to Homeowners to Avoid Foreclosures

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Here's the latest story that's been getting buzz around the internet: banks are trying to get troubled mortgages off their books without having to go through costly foreclosure processes and they are offering homeowners cash incentives to do so

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18

Quick note on updates at Credit Writedowns

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I have instituted a few changes at Credit Writedowns to which I wanted to alert readers. The changes were mostly for members but they affect all readers. I had heard from a few member readers that it wasn't clear where member content resides as most of it is integrated into the normal post stream. So I have made a number of changes in order to make the member content much more recognizable as members-only content

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17

Chart of the day: 2012 sovereign risk compression

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Great data from Bespoke. Looks like Portugal is the odd man out as the only government in which its CDS spreads have widened this year

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17

The Problem with Success

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Cash accounts for almost 6% of all corporate assets and the highest in sixty years. This increase is a result of a number of factors. Record profits give businesses the wherewithal. But corporations are not rewarded for the cash holdings. Moreover, the cash is held in such instruments as money market funds, commercial paper and bank deposits

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16

Use of lower-rated debt in repos has returned to pre-crisis levels

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Looks like there’s a storm brewing in the U.S. repo markets.

It figures: profit-center banks have every motivation to stay one step ahead of the regs and the pols. Since the gamekeepers have now gotten around to looking at proprietary trading and bringing derivatives onto exchanges, you can almost bet your first-born that the next crisis will be in neither one of these areas but someplace else entirely different

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15

Dollar Mostly Softer as Greek Deal Inches Closer

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The dollar is extending its recent losses on hopes that Greece is inching closer to a deal that would ensure the next bailout payment, though the major currencies remain in relatively tight ranges

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15

Intervention Risks Rise In Latin America

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FX intervention is certainly in the air this week for Latin America. Brazil stands out as the most aggressive, of course, as the central bank intervened in the forward market Friday and in the spot market Monday

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14

Richard Nixon gets it

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Full employment should be the standard

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14

Chart of the Day: US Congress Approval Rating

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The latest Gallup poll shows the approval rating for Congress at a record low 10%. 86% disapprove

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14

Majors Trading Flat ahead of the ECB

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The dollar is paring back some of its recent losses, with currencies mostly range bound, ahead of the ECB. The EuroStoxx 600 is currently up 0.25%, with bank shares up 0.8%; S&P 500 futures are essentially flat. Euro zone sovereign 10-year yields are mixed; Portuguese 10-year down 17bps, Spanish 10-year up 7bps

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14

[Premium] Ireland’s Private Debt Problem

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You saw the chart about two weeks ago on Developed economies’ debt levels by sector. Different economies have different debt problems. A few like Greece have public sector debt woes. And this is the sort of problem that forces a default only when the country is a currency user (and not a monopoly issuer of currency) as Japan has demonstrated. Mostly, however, the problem is in the private sector, where all of the indebted parties are currency users

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13

Greece: falling apart

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This is the reaction to the latest austerity measures proposed for Greece

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13

Rickards on Iran and QE3

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Jim Rickards, author of Currency Wars, was on capital Account last night and he thinks both QE3 and war with Iran are distinct possibilities. Take a look

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13

Global Manufacturing Steadies as She Goes, or Does She?

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The year got off on a much better foot than might have been expected, at least as far as global manufacturing is concerned. So the fall in global manufacturing has flattened out, even though the bounce back has more of a dead cat look about it than anything else. As usual in recent months the report was very much a mixed bag

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12

News Links 02/09/2012

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Jeremy Grantham’s investing strategies for 2012 – CBS News “Quality gave back a bit of its outperformance [in the fourth] quarter, but the game is in the early innings still,” GMO says in its latest report. “High quality stocks still trade at attractive levels, and the general defensive posture of quality still remains appealing given

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12

Euro Dragged Lower on Greece Uncertainty

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The dollar looks set to begin the week higher against the majors and EMs over lack of progress in Greece. European stocks are down 0.6%, with the EuroStoxx 600 trimming its 6-month high; EZ banks down 1.3%. German manufacturing orders higher in December; soft Australian retail sales support further RBA cuts

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