The decision for Europe’s bosses is this: they must ultimately confront the consequences of their policy choices. They can destroy the eurozone by continuing with the same failed mix of policies or by salvaging it by adding what has been missing from the outset: a mechanism for shifting surpluses to the deficit regions in the form of productive investments (as opposed to handouts or loans)
Read more »The Elephant in the Room Is Spain, Not Italy

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European Sovereign Supply and LTRO
This is a fairly busy week for European sovereign supply. Roughly 22 bln euros will be raised. This includes the 7.5 bln euros Italy raised yesterday by selling bonds and the 2.5 bln euros raised by Belgium in bills. Germany is seeking to raise 5 bln euros by selling 10 year bonds tomorrow and Portugal will sell bills. France and Spain plan on selling bonds on Thursday, Feb 2.
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ABS Totals
View year-to-date 2011 ABS issuance totals for ABS, MBS and CMBS.
Read more »Mortgage Refi Data
See results from the Mortgage Bankers Association's Refinance and Purchase Indexes as well as the weekly mortgage rates surveyed by Freddie Mac.
Read more »Scorecards
View the Scorecard deals featured in ASR's Scorecard database that priced in the last two weeks.
Read more »Euro Races Higher
The euro is racing higher after initially gapping lower in Asia on indications that the private sector involvement in Greece had hit another stumbling block ahead of today’s EU finance minister summit. It has moved above the $1.30 area in the European morning, for the first time since January 4. There are a few consideration prompting the continuation of the short-covering advance that began last week.
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The Importance of the Mario Brothers
They are not really brothers, but Mario Draghi and Mario Monti are countrymen and are doing a great deal to respond to the European debt crisis in ways that were unimaginable until very recently.
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Stephen Colbert for President of the United States
Colbert says "clearly, my fellow South Caroliniacs see me as the only viable "Mitt-ternative". Take a look.
So, is he running? Maybe. At least he’s got Jon Stewart to take over the Colbert Super PAC so he can run. It’s pretty easy too. Take a look and you’ll find out if he’s running.
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News Links 01/12/2012

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The continuing saga of bank self-regulation and other fairy tales featuring Alan Greenspan
(Cross-posted from Benzinga.com)
We continue to witness remarkable developments in the intersection of the related fields of economics, finance, ethics, law, and regulation. Each of these five fields ignores a sixth related field – white-collar criminology. The six fields share a renewed interest in trust.
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Chart of the Day: The Shanghai Bounce
The Shanghai has put in its best two day performance since September ’09, rising 5.8 percent. After its post crash peak in August 2009, Chinese stocks have fallen almost 40 percent before hitting their lows last Friday.
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Category: Structured Finance Tags:
- bond auctions
- china daily
- chinese new year
- chinese stocks
- citigroup inc
- global economy
- global macro
- global turbulence
- huntsman
- international securities
- jon huntsman
- launch
- lows
- meltdown
- monetary authorities
- money supply growth
- p500
- private equity
- securities firm
- share market
- Structured Finance
- us bank
PBOC Easing To Continue In 2012

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Beyond Jobs

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Jeffrey Gundlach’s Bond Outlook
Here’s the skinny on how Jeffrey Gundlach sees the best tactical bond market approach for US-based investors:
- Keep your money in dollar assets
- Watch out for counterparty risk
- Stop buying mortgage REITs
- Be worried about China
- Don’t be a closet indexer and underperform
Video below
Source: CNBC
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Krugman, Tabarrok, Cowen and the bond vigilante fallacy
I don’t expect any response from Paul Krugman, Alex Tabarrok or Tyler Cowen on this but they know who I am and read my articles from time to time. I am going to add my voice to a debate they have been having in the blogosphere on debt, deficits and bond vigilantes. It goes like this (emphasis added):
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Improvising Lending Policies
The passage of the payroll tax holiday extension in December was a watershed moment for the mortgage and MBS markets.
Read more »Turkey & Russia, 2012
In the emerging markets at the edges of Europe, 2011 did not generate much excitement.
Read more »When Sovereigns Go Bad: SF Ratings Uplift in Euroland
How much higher can a rating agency grade a structured finance deal over its respective sovereign?
Read more »Euro Slump Extended, Mediocre Italian Bond Auction, Poor Hungarian Debt Sale
The US dollar is modestly firmer against the major currencies, but is more mixed against the leading emerging market currencies. The euro extended yesterday’s losses in Asia, falling to $1.2866, the lowest level since the start of the year. The euro’s losses against the yen were also extended with new 10-year lows recorded just above JPY100.30.
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Is a eurozone bailout already in play?
Listen: they can go kicking and screaming all they want to but, unless they’re on board to with ending the euro, it seems likely that the rich nations in Northern Europe will end up bailing out their poorer brethren. Whether they call it a bailout or not is another issue. But check out what’s already happening.
From Reuters via Xe.com:
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