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Mark Spitznagel: The Austrians And The Swan - Birds Of A Different Feather

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Submitted by Mark Spitznagel, CIO of Universa Investments LP: a white paper

The Austrians and the Swan:

Birds of a Different Feather

On Induction: If it looks like a swan, swims like a swan…

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zieg_the_fox's picture
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Write-Offs: 05.21.12

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$$$ href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702303610504577418100138866184.html?mod=WSJ_hp_MIDDLETopStories">J.P. Morgan Suspends Share Buyback [WSJ]

$$$ href="http://www.cnbc.com//id/47509289">Bank of America’s CEO ‘Comfortable’ With Investments [CNBC]

$$$ href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-05-21/gupta-threw-away-his-duties-prosecutor-says-in-opening.html">Gupta ‘Threw Away His Duties,’ Prosecutor Says In Opening [Bloomberg]

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16

Have We Identified The Next Food Eating Challenge?

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The Montana State Society’s Testicle Festival in Virginia Square was a rousing success this year. Festival-goers consumed 110 pounds of bull and bison testicles, 84 liters of Crown Royal and 1,500 cans of beer this year, according to event organizer and Society president Jed Link. All three were records for the event, now in its eighth…

href="http://dealbreaker.com/2012/05/have-we-identified-the-next-food-eating-challenge-3/">Continue reading »

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21

This Is A Post About Greenshoes

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Why don’t we talk abstractly about greenshoes for a while, because for some reason some people want to talk about them and hey, why not, they’re a thing. In talking about greenshoes, though, we are not going to use the F-word, because I swore to myself that last week was the end of that. We’re…

href="http://dealbreaker.com/2012/05/this-is-a-post-about-greenshoes/">Continue reading »

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17

The Keynesian Emperor, Undressed

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zieg_the_fox's picture
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15

Neither the Fed Nor the ECB Can Stop What's Coming

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Today, we are witnessing the investment world’s slow awakening to the fact that the monetary actions taken by the world’s Central Banks have not in fact solved the issues leading up to the 2008 Crisis.

 

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19

Give A Bill Ackman A Fish And You’ll Feed Him For A Day. Teach A Bill Ackman To Fish And He’ll Hire You To Work At Pershing Square. (Ditto Re: Tennis Lessons.)

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href="http://dealbreaker.com/?attachment_id=76781" rel="attachment wp-att-76781">How do the world’s leading hedge fund managers go about assembling their teams? While some choose the standard head hunter and “pitch me a stock” route with candidates who’ve had at least a few years of business experience and proven track records, others prefer a more outside the box approach. Bridgewater Associates, for instance, has said that instead of going after veterans of Wall Street, it prefers to hire people straight out of college, when their minds are still malleable.

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19

Investing In A World Of Black Swans

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In the world of modern finance, there has always been the search for the Holy Grail. Ever since the advent of computers, practitioners have looked to harness the power of computing and direct it towards the goal of producing endless profits. Regrettably, nobody has found the silver bullet, but that hasn't slowed down people from trying. Wall Street has an innate desire to try to turn the ultra-complex field of finance into a science, just as they do in the field of physics.

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19

Citigroup Valuation Suggests A Reality Check With A Warning

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Citigroup (C) is one of the major money-center banks in the world. Like so many big companies, Citigroup certainly is not the company it used to be.

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20

Bank Of America: 10 Year Review, 100+% Total Payout Ratio

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Long-term investors in Bank of America (BAC) may find this review and information useful. The following items were reviewed for the 10 years ending December 2001 through 2011

  • Revenue
  • Net income
  • Dividends
  • Share repurchases
  • Long-term debt

The first thing that stands out:

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15

Goldman: Why This Stock Is A Buy

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Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) has reported results for the first quarter of the current fiscal that show net revenues of $9.95 billion and net earnings of $2.11 billion.

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18

Under The Hood Of Mortgage REIT American Capital Agency Corp.

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Investors have been attracted to mortgage REITs including American Capital Agency (AGNC) due to their strong dividend yields. The majority of mortgage REITs trade around book value, thus investors need to understand the specific strategies that each manager deploys. AGNC is an agency focused mortgage REIT, meaning they investment in securities that have an implicit government guarantees. AGNC management has been able to outperform its peers due to security selection.

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16

Gundlach Bullish On Mortgage Non-Agency Securities

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King of Bonds, Jeffrey Gundlach spent time with Bloomberg's Tom Keene this week to discuss his view of the markets and the best place for investor's capital. With over $30 billion of assets under management Gundlach's Doubleline Capital is focused on providing strong risk adjusted returns for shareholders. Gundlach is an astute investor and serious investors should heed his advice.

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15

Bipartisan Congressional Bill Would Authorize the Use of Propaganda On Americans Living Inside America

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Because Banning Propaganda “Ties the Hands of America’s Diplomatic Officials, Military, and Others by Inhibiting Our Ability to Effectively Communicate In a Credible Way”

Michael Hastings reports:

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